KC -3 ?????

[petyos]

Why?
I mean Baltimore might be the worst 2-1 teams ever.
I think this line is because of Ray Lewis. He is good but he is not worth about 4.5 points.
Havent the linmakers seen Kc, yet? They pretty much destroy anything in their paths.
That kid Boller might be good in the future, but right now he is not good at all.
The reason they won yesteday was not because they were good, but because Sd was bad and the Ravens had lady luck on their sides.

 

[TheGeneral+]

Baltimores defense is still a good shot to do very well and i am looking forward to see how they do this week.

I think it's a good number as I look at pts allowed.

 

[KMAN]

petyos - Trent Green has thrown quite a few interceptions already and this Baltimore team feeds off turnovers. Also, the KC defense was horrible last year. Have they improved enough to stop Baltimore's running game?

Don't doubt that KC should win but strange things happen when the better defense at home.


GL,
KMAN

 

[Oren1]

their defense has improved a lot, yes. and here's Tommy Maddox's stats from game 1 gainst the Ravens:
PASSING
.............CP/AT YDS TD INT
T. Maddox 21/29 260 3 0

 

[Hardwaymoney]

KC will cash...balt goes 2-2..

 

[Gridster]

I don't understand this line at all. It could've opened at 6 and the action would have been balanced. If Vegas was just gambling they could've made it 4.5 and still had all the action on KC. But 3!? If it was a mistake I would have expected the line to move by now. Now it turns out the games been moved to 3pm, apparently for the TV market and even more action. Very suspicious.

 

[WCBias]

Sounds like something for smokinggun.com to look into!

 

[bosox1086]

KC -3.0 does seem too easy for me. They stop Jamal Lewis, which isn't easy, they win by 21. Even if they don't, they should win by 10. Why is the line only 3 then? Guy I work with is a huge Ravens fan and he LOVES the Chiefs this week. I've been telling him all week it looks too easy. I'll probably still go small on KC though.

 

[xpanda]

Baltimore has never lost week 4.
Baltimore is 3-0 ATS their last three vs. AFC West teams.
Baltimore is at home, while this is KC's second straight road game.
KC's only road game thus far was against Houston.
Priest was a Raven two years ago ... Baltimore has his number.

I'm taking the Ravens SU and the Under in this game.

 

[Gridster]

If this game is "one for the books" as they call it, xpanda, I strongly suggest you take the points rather than betting the Ravens straight up. If the officials take control of this game they'd be more inclined to hook the Chiefs with the points as compared to giving the Ravens an outright victory. Its their way of keeping the NFL off their backs. Look for an absence of holding penalties on the part of the Ravens in this game.

 

[Oren1]

the Raiders get that treatment quite often, the problem last year for the league, who I believe is behind the biased officiating in the Raiders case, was, they were good enough to beat their opponents, the team and the officials. If you watched last Mondays game the holding on the Broncos part during most of their running plays was pretty blatant.

 

[xpanda]

My typical rule of thumb is this: if I like the dog, I'll play 1/3 on the spread, 1/3 on the under and 1/3 on the moneyline. My profits are higher at the end of the year.

I did find a sportsbook offering the Ravens at +3.5, so placed my spread bet there.

 

[Oren1]

Sorry, X, but you're going to lose. The under could hit, though.

Unless Holmes goes down in the 1st quarter they beat the Ravens by 10.

 

[xpanda]

Well, that's 'why they play the game.'

If you were in front of me, I'd challenge you to a sidebet, but we'll call it bragging rights for now. See you tomorrow at 7:30 ...

 

[Oren1]

I was just playin', sure, Balt has a chance, I guess.

 

[xpanda]

Dammit! This is what I get for shooting my mouth off, I guess.

 

[Oren1]

they got shafted by some penalties, it was very close.

 

[Hardwaymoney]

the roll is on for KC..... look for a higher spread in the weeks to come....

 

[petyos]

The linesmakers were sort of right, but this was a bad line regardless. All the squares were on KC. They had to lose a lot of money on this one, when they shouldnt have